Weather: August A small piece of reassuring news emerges from the latest holiday announcements and forecasts
Screenings for AugustJust got there European Center’s new seasonal forecasts for Augustwith predictions Precipitation And temperature; Well, the news coming out is not very promising and we are expecting unusual values.
Summer vacations are really dangerous for Italians?
To answer this question, we must rely on what we are called to do Long-term climate forecasts (August): Once decidedly unreliable and an object of study and curiosity for the curious and curious, now seasonal predictions A perfect tool for scientific forecasting, with decisive contributions to long-term climate assessment. In Europe, a leader in this field is the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWFFrom Reading (United Kingdom).
It seems that between the end July And the beginning August The A large high pressure field of African origin, was destined to impose itself more and more significantly on the Mediterranean basin. A recent screening by the European Center Confirmation A trend traditionally dedicated to highlighting heat Italian holidays: As we can see from the graph below, you can see that some areas are colored red, as the legend says, that color represents the temperature well. Up to + 5/6 ° C above average; At this time, the northern regions appear to be most at risk, followed by the center (especially the Tyrrhenian region).
The worrying fact is that this thermal anomaly affects almost the entire old continent, from the Iberian Peninsula to Russia, confirming the exceptional nature of this summer, which may be the hottest ever recorded in Europe.
For this reason it is perfectly reasonable to talk about “”.danger“: Sure, it translates Repeated heat waves are coming from the heart of Africa (Sahara Desert), peaks are ready to splash above 35°C, especially Val PatnaInland areas of both Major Islands And in part Central-Southern Peninsula.
So why the word “danger”? These anomalous and red-hot phases should be treated like “waves of bad weather” because they can cause serious damage: Prolonged drought, Health problems And lastly indirect risk Extreme weather events. In fact, this excess heat results in hail and storms that increase potential energy whenever drafts of fresh air manage to “pierce” the anticyclonic shield. So it is right to talk about holidays for a different reason, if not because of rain and thunderstorms.
Therefore, summer should continue on this climate trend, with continued warm winds from Africa, as most officially announced by the latest seasonal forecasts. European Center.
Temperatures above average up to +5/6°C especially in central and northern Italy (source: ECMWF)
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